Financial Management AFIN253


Tutorial 3, Week 4

Compulsory question that will be collected and marked.

Question 211  equivalent annual cash flow

You're advising your superstar client 40-cent who is weighing up buying a private jet or a luxury yacht. 40-cent is just as happy with either, but he wants to go with the more cost-effective option. These are the cash flows of the two options:

  • The private jet can be bought for $6m now, which will cost $12,000 per month in fuel, piloting and airport costs, payable at the end of each month. The jet will last for 12 years.
  • Or the luxury yacht can be bought for $4m now, which will cost $20,000 per month in fuel, crew and berthing costs, payable at the end of each month. The yacht will last for 20 years.

What's unusual about 40-cent is that he is so famous that he will actually be able to sell his jet or yacht for the same price as it was bought since the next generation of superstar musicians will buy it from him as a status symbol.

Bank interest rates are 10% pa, given as an effective annual rate. You can assume that 40-cent will live for another 60 years and that when the jet or yacht's life is at an end, he will buy a new one with the same details as above.

Would you advise 40-cent to buy the or the ✓?

Note that the effective monthly rate is ##r_\text{eff monthly}=(1+0.1)^{1/12}-1=0.00797414##

Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

This is an equivalent annual cost question since the jet and yacht last for different amounts of time.

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, jet, all costs} &= -\text{PurchaseCost} -\text{MaintenanceCosts} +\text{SaleRevenue} \\ &= -C_0-\frac{C_\text{monthly}}{r_\text{eff monthly}} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff monthly})^{T_\text{months}}} \right) + \frac{C_T}{(1+r_\text{eff monthly})^{T_\text{months}}} \\ &= -6m-\frac{0.012m}{0.00797414} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.00797414)^{12 \times12}} \right) + \frac{6m}{(1+0.00797414)^{12\times12}} \\ &= -5.113583224m \\ \end{aligned} ###

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, yacht, all costs} &= -C_0-\frac{C_\text{monthly}}{r_\text{eff monthly}} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff monthly})^{T_\text{months}}} \right) + \frac{C_T}{(1+r_\text{eff monthly})^{T_\text{months}}} \\ &= -4m-\frac{0.02m}{0.00797414} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.00797414)^{20 \times12}} \right) + \frac{4m}{(1+0.00797414)^{20\times12}} \\ &= -5.540718655m \\ \end{aligned} ###

Although the jet appears cheaper because it has a lower present value of costs, we have to recognise that the jet has a shorter life than the yacht, so of course the present value of its costs will be less. We need to use the annuity formula to spread the costs over each project's life so we can get an equivalent annual cost.

For the jet,

###V_\text{0, jet, all costs} = \frac{C_\text{EAC jet}}{r_\text{eff annual}} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff annual})^{T_\text{years}}} \right) ### ###-5.113583224m = \frac{C_\text{EAC jet}}{0.1} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.1)^{12}} \right) ### ###C_\text{EAC jet} = -0.750486426m ###

For the yacht,

###V_\text{0, yacht, all costs} = \frac{C_\text{EAC yacht}}{r_\text{eff annual}} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff annual})^{T_\text{years}}} \right) ### ###-5.540718655m = \frac{C_\text{EAC yacht}}{0.1} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.1)^{20}} \right) ### ###C_\text{EAC yacht} = -0.650810734m ###

Since the yacht has the lower equivalent annual cost, it is the best choice.

Note that this is a bit of an unusual result since the yacht and jet are both sold for the amount that they are bought for, but the yacht has higher running costs than the jet ($20k vs $12k). Common sense would lead us to conclude that we should buy the thing with the lowest running costs.

But this common-sense approach ignores opportunity costs. The jet costs $2m more than the yacht ($6m vs $4m), and since the interest rate is 10%, that extra $2m means that there is a $200,000 opportunity cost of having that cash tied up in the jet rather than sitting in the bank collecting interest at 10% pa. This is the main reason why the yacht is the more cost-effective choice.

An alternative method to find the equivalent annual cash flow is to use the perpetuity formula to discount the cash flows as if they continue forever. The first step is to find the present value of the cash flows that go forever. Because the cost of the jet (or yacht) is always the same and the sale price at the end of the current jet's life cancels out with the purchase price of the next jet, only the purchase at the very start needs to be included.

###V_\text{0, perpetual} = -C_\text{0, initial cost} - \dfrac{C_\text{1, monthly ongoing costs}}{r_\text{eff monthly}-g_\text{eff monthly}}###

For the jet:

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, jet, perpetual} &= -6m - \dfrac{0.012m}{0.00797414-0} \\ &= -7.504864474m \\ \end{aligned}###

The second step is to spread these costs over each year forever, also using the perpetuity formula.

###V_\text{0, jet, perpetual} = \frac{C_\text{EAC jet}}{r_\text{eff annual} - g_\text{eff anual}} ### ###-7.504864474m = \frac{C_\text{EAC jet}}{0.1 - 0} ### ###\begin{aligned} C_\text{EAC jet} &= -7.504864474m \times 0.1 \\ &= -0.7504864474m \\ \end{aligned}###

For the yacht:

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, yacht, perpetual} &= -4m - \dfrac{0.02m}{0.00797414-0} \\ &= -6.508107457m \\ \end{aligned}### ###V_\text{0, yacht, perpetual} = \frac{C_\text{EAC yacht}}{r_\text{eff annual} - g_\text{eff anual}} ### ###-6.508107457m = \frac{C_\text{EAC yacht}}{0.1 - 0} ### ###\begin{aligned} C_\text{EAC yacht} &= -6.508107457m \times 0.1 \\ &= -0.6508107457m \\ \end{aligned}###

Both equivalent annual cash flows are the same as before, ignoring the small discrepancy caused by rounding the monthly discount rate.

 

Tutorial 3, Week 4

Homework questions.

Question 58  NPV, inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows, Annuity

A project to build a toll bridge will take two years to complete, costing three payments of $100 million at the start of each year for the next three years, that is at t=0, 1 and 2.

After completion, the toll bridge will yield a constant $50 million at the end of each year for the next 10 years. So the first payment will be at t=3 and the last at t=12. After the last payment at t=12, the bridge will be given to the government.

The required return of the project is 21% pa given as an effective annual nominal rate.

All cash flows are real and the expected inflation rate is 10% pa given as an effective annual rate. Ignore taxes.

The Net Present Value is:


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Since the cash flows are real but our discount rate is nominal, we need to convert the nominal discount rate to a real rate. Using the exact Fisher equation,

###\begin{aligned} 1+r_\text{real} &= \frac{1+r_\text{nomimal}}{1+r_\text{inflation}} \\ r_\text{real} &= \frac{1+r_\text{nomimal}}{1+r_\text{inflation}} -1 \\ &= \frac{1+0.21}{1+0.1} -1 \\ &= 0.1 \\ \end{aligned} ###

Now just discount the cash flows using two annuity equations.

###\begin{aligned} V_0 &= -C_\text{0, 1, 2}.\frac{1}{r}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r)^{3}} \right).(1+r)^{1} + C_\text{3, 4, ..., 12}.\frac{1}{r}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r)^{10}} \right).\frac{1}{(1+r)^{2}} \\ &= -100m \times \frac{1}{0.1} \times \left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+0.1)^{3}} \right) \times (1+0.1)^{1} + 50m \times \frac{1}{0.1} \times \left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+0.1)^{10}} \right) \times \frac{1}{(1+0.1)^{2}} \\ &= -100m \times 2.48685199 \times 1.1 + 50m \times 6.14456711 \times 0.82644628 \\ &= -273.553719m + 253.9077316m \\ &= -19.64598737m \\ &= -19,645,987.37 \\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 218  NPV, IRR, profitability index, average accounting return

Which of the following statements is NOT correct?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

If a project's NPV is negative, it's IRR will be less than the required return. But the IRR will not necessarily be negative. The IRR could say 4% which is less than the positive required return of say 10%, but more than zero.


Question 48  IRR, NPV, bond pricing, premium par and discount bonds, market efficiency

The theory of fixed interest bond pricing is an application of the theory of Net Present Value (NPV). Also, a 'fairly priced' asset is not over- or under-priced. Buying or selling a fairly priced asset has an NPV of zero.

Considering this, which of the following statements is NOT correct?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

The NPV of buying any fairly priced asset is zero. Therefore the NPV of buying a fairly priced bond is also zero. Whether the bond is a premium or discount bond is irrelevant, it's unrelated to the NPV of buying it.

The fair price of a bond is the present value (PV) of its expected future cash flows, which is the present value of coupons and face value:

###\begin{aligned} P_\text{0, bond} &= PV(\text{coupons}) + PV(\text{face value}) \\ &= \frac{C_1}{r} \left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r)^T} \right) + \frac{F_T}{(1+r)^T} \\ \end{aligned}###

The net present value (NPV) of buying an asset is the present value of costs less gains.

###\begin{aligned} NPV &= -PV(\text{costs}) + PV(\text{gains}) \\ \end{aligned}###

The cost of a bond is its price, and the gains from a bond are the coupons and face value. Since the price of a fairly priced bond equals the present value of the coupons and face value, then the net present value of buying a fairly priced bond must be zero.

Mathematically, we can re-arrange the bond price formula to be in the same form as the NPV formula, which shows that the NPV must be zero:

###P_\text{0, bond} = PV(\text{coupons}) + PV(\text{face value}) ### ###\underbrace{0}_{\text{NPV}} = -\underbrace{P_\text{0, bond}}_{PV(\text{costs})} + \underbrace{PV(\text{coupons}) + PV(\text{face value})}_{PV(\text{gains})} ###

Note that premium bonds can also be fairly priced. The NPV of buying a fairly priced premium bond is zero. The term 'premium' does not indicate that the bond's price is above (or below) the fair price, it indicates that the bond's price is above its face value which is usually the $100 or $1,000 that's paid at maturity. Premium bonds have a higher price than their face value because the coupon rate is more than the total required return (the yield). Therefore investors are willing to pay a high price for the bond, higher than the face value, making the bond a premium bond. The highest price investors will pay for the bond will be the price that makes the NPV zero.


Question 140  IRR, NPV, profitability index

A project has an internal rate of return (IRR) which is greater than its required return. Select the most correct statement.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Projects with a positive NPV will have a Profitability Index greater than one.


Question 191  NPV, IRR, profitability index, pay back period

A project's Profitability Index (PI) is less than 1. Select the most correct statement:


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Since the Profitability Index is less than one, the project should be rejected since the present value of the future cash flows must be less than the initial cost.


Question 182  NPV, IRR, pay back period

A project's NPV is positive. Select the most correct statement:


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

When the NPV of a project is positive, the project's IRR must be more than its required return.


Question 63  bond pricing, NPV, market efficiency

The theory of fixed interest bond pricing is an application of the theory of Net Present Value (NPV). Also, a 'fairly priced' asset is not over- or under-priced. Buying or selling a fairly priced asset has an NPV of zero.

Considering this, which of the following statements is NOT correct?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

From the bond pricing formula, the required return r is in the denominator of each fraction so any increase in r causes a decrease in the price P and vice versa:

###P_\text{0, bond} = C_\text{1,2,3,...,T} \times \frac{1}{r}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) + \frac{F_\text{T}}{(1+r)^{T}} ###

When the required return rises, the bond price falls.

When the required return falls, the bond price rises.

This is not only true for bonds but for any asset including shares and land.

The required return of a fairly priced bond is also its IRR. Remember that the IRR is the discount rate that makes the NPV zero.

###\begin{aligned} NPV &= C_0 + \frac{C_1}{(1+r)^1} + \frac{C_2}{(1+r)^2} + ... + \frac{C_T}{(1+r)^T} \\ 0 &= C_0 + \frac{C_1}{(1+r_{irr})^1} + \frac{C_2}{(1+r_{irr})^2} + ... + \frac{C_T}{(1+r_{irr})^T} \\ \end{aligned} ###

Re-arranging the bond-pricing equation:

###P_\text{0, bond} = C_\text{1,2,3,...,T} \times \frac{1}{r}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) + \frac{F_\text{T}}{(1+r)^{T}} ### ###\underbrace{0}_{\text{NPV}} = -\underbrace{P_\text{0, bond}}_{PV(\text{cost})} + \underbrace{C_\text{1,2,3,...,T} \times \frac{1}{r_\text{IRR}}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r_\text{IRR})^{T}} \right) + \frac{F_\text{T}}{(1+r_\text{IRR})^{T}}}_{PV(\text{gains})} ###

Because the NPV of buying a fairly priced bond is zero, the bond's yield is equivalent to the IRR of buying it too.


Question 228  DDM, NPV, risk, market efficiency

A very low-risk stock just paid its semi-annual dividend of $0.14, as it has for the last 5 years. You conservatively estimate that from now on the dividend will fall at a rate of 1% every 6 months.

If the stock currently sells for $3 per share, what must be its required total return as an effective annual rate?

If risk free government bonds are trading at a yield of 4% pa, given as an effective annual rate, would you consider buying or selling the stock?

The stock's required total return is:


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Using the dividend discount model (DDM),

###\begin{aligned} P_{0} &= \frac{C_\text{6mth}}{r_\text{eff 6mth} - g_\text{eff 6mth}} \\ &= \frac{C_0(1+g_\text{eff 6mth})^1}{r_\text{eff 6mth} - g_\text{eff 6mth}} \\ \end{aligned} ### ###\begin{aligned} 3 &= \frac{0.14(1-0.01)^1}{r_\text{eff 6mth} - (-0.01)} \\ \end{aligned} ### ###\begin{aligned} r_\text{eff 6mth} &= \frac{0.14(1-0.01)^1}{3} - 0.01 \\ &= 0.0362 \\ \end{aligned} ### ###\begin{aligned} r_\text{eff annual} &= (1+r_\text{eff 6mth})^2-1 \\ &= (1+0.0362 )^2-1 \\ &= 0.07371044 \\ \end{aligned} ###

Since this stock is very low risk, we can guess that it should have a low return close to the risk free rate which is the time value of money. Since this stock returns much more than the risk free rate (7.37% vs 4%), this stock is returning more than what we deserve. It is a good stock that we would like to buy. Its price is too low so it is under-priced, and buying it would have a positive NPV.

Note that this assumes that the stock's high historical rate of return in the past will continue into the future, but this might not be true.


Question 46  NPV, annuity due

The phone company Telstra have 2 mobile service plans on offer which both have the same amount of phone call, text message and internet data credit. Both plans have a contract length of 24 months and the monthly cost is payable in advance. The only difference between the two plans is that one is a:

  • 'Bring Your Own' (BYO) mobile service plan, costing $50 per month. There is no phone included in this plan. The other plan is a:
  • 'Bundled' mobile service plan that comes with the latest smart phone, costing $71 per month. This plan includes the latest smart phone.

Neither plan has any additional payments at the start or end.

The only difference between the plans is the phone, so what is the implied cost of the phone as a present value?

Assume that the discount rate is 2% per month given as an effective monthly rate, the same high interest rate on credit cards.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

The difference in costs between the BYO and bundled plans is 71-50=$21 per month for 24 months. The present value of this difference is the implicit cost of the phone. Since the payments are made in advance (at the start of the month), the ordinary annuity equation needs to be adjusted. This equation is known as the 'annuity due' equation and there are lots of versions of it. Here is one:

###\begin{aligned} V_0 &= C_0(1+r_\text{eff})^1 \times \frac{1}{r_\text{eff}}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff})^{T}} \right) \\ &= (71-50)(1+0.02)^1 \times \frac{1}{0.02}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+0.02)^{24}} \right) \\ &= 21(1+0.02) \times 18.9139256 \\ &= 21.42 \times 18.9139256 \\ &= 405.1362864 \\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 192  NPV, APR

Harvey Norman the large retailer often runs sales advertising 2 years interest free when you purchase its products. This offer can be seen as a free personal loan from Harvey Norman to its customers.

Assume that banks charge an interest rate on personal loans of 12% pa given as an APR compounding per month. This is the interest rate that Harvey Norman deserves on the 2 year loan it extends to its customers. Therefore Harvey Norman must implicitly include the cost of this loan in the advertised sale price of its goods.

If you were a customer buying from Harvey Norman, and you were paying immediately, not in 2 years, what is the minimum percentage discount to the advertised sale price that you would insist on? (Hint: if it makes it easier, assume that you’re buying a product with an advertised price of $100).


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

First convert the interest rate from an APR to an effective rate,

###r_\text{eff monthly} = \frac{r_\text{apr comp monthly}}{12} = \frac{0.12}{12} = 0.01###

The advertised sale price of the product comes with the 2 year interest free loan so it will be paid in 2 years or 24 months. Let that price be ##P_\text{24}##.

If we pay for the product right now we would be silly to pay the full price. We wouldn't pay now unless the price now is equal to or less than the present value of the price in 2 years. Let this discounted price be ##P_0##.

To find out how much less ##P_0## should be compared with ##P_{24}##,

###\begin{aligned} P_0 &= \frac{P_{24}}{(1+r_\text{eff monthly})^{24}} \\ &= \frac{P_{24}}{(1+0.01)^{24}} \\ &= \frac{P_{24}}{1.269734649} \\ \end{aligned} ###

If the advertised sale price ##P_{24}## is $100, then

###\begin{aligned} P_0 &= \frac{100}{1.269734649} \\ &= 78.7566127 \\ \end{aligned} ###

So the highest price that you would be willing to pay now is $78.76 which is 21.24% less than the advertised sale price of $100.

Or for those who prefer an algebraic expression rather than substituting $100,

###\begin{aligned} P_0 &= \frac{P_2}{1.269734649} \\ &= P_2 \times \frac{1}{1.269734649} \\ &= P_2 \times 0.787566127 \\ &= P_2 \times (1-0.212433873) \\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 144  NPV

A text book publisher is thinking of asking some teachers to write a new textbook at a cost of $100,000, payable now. The book would be written, printed and ready to sell to students in 2 years. It will be ready just before semester begins.

A cash flow of $100 would be made from each book sold, after all costs such as printing and delivery. There are 600 students per semester. Assume that every student buys a new text book. Remember that there are 2 semesters per year and students buy text books at the beginning of the semester.

Assume that text book publishers will sell the books at the same price forever and that the number of students is constant.

If the discount rate is 8% pa, given as an effective annual rate, what is the NPV of the project?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Since the cash flows occur every 6 months, the effective annual rate needs to be converted into an effective 6 month rate:

###r_\text{eff 6mth} = (1+r_\text{eff annual})^{0.5}-1 = (1+0.08)^{0.5}-1 = 0.039230485###

To find the present value, subtract the initial cost now and add the perpetuity of 6 month cash flows which go on forever. The only trick is to remember that the perpetuity formula will give a value one period before the first cash flow. Since the first cash flow will be at t = 4 semi-annual periods (2 years), the perpetuity formula will give a value at t = 3 semi-annual periods (1.5 years).

###\begin{aligned} V_0 &= -C_{0} + \frac{ \left(\dfrac{C_4}{r_\text{eff 6mth}}\right) }{(1+r_\text{eff 6mth})^{3}} \\ &= -100,000 + \frac{ \left(\dfrac{600 \times 100}{0.039230485}\right) }{(1+0.039230485)^{3}} \\ &= -100,000 + \frac{1,529,422.846}{(1+0.039230485)^{3}} \\ &= -100,000 + 1,362,673.923 \\ &= 1,262,673.923 = $1.262674m\\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 189  IRR

A project has the following cash flows:

Project Cash Flows
Time (yrs) Cash flow ($)
0 -400
1 0
2 500
 

The required return on the project is 10%, given as an effective annual rate.

What is the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of this project? The following choices are effective annual rates. Assume that the cash flows shown in the table are paid all at once at the given point in time.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

The IRR is the discount rate that makes the NPV equal to zero.

###\begin{aligned} V_0 &= -C_{0} + \frac{C_2}{(1+r)^{2}} \\ 0 &= -C_{0} + \frac{C_2}{(1+r_\text{IRR})^{2}} \\ 0 &= -400 + \frac{500}{(1+r_\text{IRR})^{2}} \\ r_\text{IRR} &= \left( \frac{500}{400} \right)^{1/2} - 1 \\ &= 0.118033989 \\ \end{aligned} ###

Note that if $400 was the fair price of a 2-year zero-coupon bond, and $500 was the face value, then this IRR would also be the yield to maturity of the fairly priced bond.


Question 190  pay back period

A project has the following cash flows:

Project Cash Flows
Time (yrs) Cash flow ($)
0 -400
1 0
2 500
 

What is the payback period of the project in years?

Normally cash flows are assumed to happen at the given time. But here, assume that the cash flows are received smoothly over the year. So the $500 at time 2 is actually earned smoothly from t=1 to t=2.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

To find the payback period,

###\begin{aligned} T_\text{payback} &= \left( \begin{array}{c} \text{time of} \\ \text{first positive} \\ \text{cumulative} \\ \text{cash flow} \\ \end{array} \right) - \frac{ \left( \begin{array}{c} \text{first positive} \\ \text{cumulative} \\ \text{cash flow} \\ \end{array} \right) }{ \left( \begin{array}{c} \text{cash flow over} \\ \text{that period} \\ \end{array} \right) } \\ &= 2 - \frac{(-400+500)}{500} \\ &= 2 - \frac{100}{500} \\ &= 1.8 \\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 43  pay back period

A project to build a toll road will take 3 years to complete, costing three payments of $50 million, paid at the start of each year (at times 0, 1, and 2).

After completion, the toll road will yield a constant $10 million at the end of each year forever with no costs. So the first payment will be at t=4.

The required return of the project is 10% pa given as an effective nominal rate. All cash flows are nominal.

What is the payback period?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

This project is interesting because it has a negative NPV, but since its positive cash flows continue forever, it must eventually pay itself off. So it has a finite payback period. Note that inflation is a red herring since the pay back period doesn't account for inflation. Usually only nominal cash flows are used in pay back period calculations and this is what is given.

Algebraic method: The cumulative cash flow ##C_\text{sum,T}## at time T is:

###\begin{aligned} C_\text{sum,T} &= -50 \times 3 + 10 \times (T - 3) \\ \end{aligned}###

The payback period ##T_\text{payback}## occurs when the cumulative cash flow is zero, so:

###\begin{aligned} C_\text{sum,T} &= -50 \times 3 + 10 \times (T - 3) \\ 0 &= -50 \times 3 + 10 \times (T_\text{payback} - 3) \\ 10 \times (T_\text{payback} - 3) &= 50 \times 3 \\ T_\text{payback} &= 3 + \frac{50 \times 3}{10} \\ &= 3 + 15 \\ &= 18 \\ \end{aligned}###

Table method:

Payback Period Calculation
Time
(yrs)
Cash
flow ($)
Cumulative
cash flow ($)
0 -50 -50
1 -50 -100
2 -50 -150
3 0 -150
4 10 -140
5 10 -130
... ... ...
16 10 -20
17 10 -10
18 10 0
 

Question 164  implicit interest rate in wholesale credit

A wholesale store offers credit to its customers. Customers are given 60 days to pay for their goods, but if they pay immediately they will get a 1.5% discount.

What is the effective interest rate implicit in the discount being offered? Assume 365 days in a year and that all customers pay either immediately or the 60th day. All of the below answer choices are given as effective annual interest rates.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

### V_{0} = \frac{V_{60}}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(60-0)/365}} ###

But the discount is 1.5% if paid at ##t=0##, so ###V_{0} = V_{60}(1-0.015)### Substituting into the above, then:

###V_{60}(1-0.015) = \frac{V_{60}}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(60-0)/365}} ### ###1-0.015 = \frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(60-0)/365}} ### ###(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(60-0)/365} = \frac{1}{1-0.015} ### ###1+r_\text{eff,annual} = \left(\frac{1}{1-0.015}\right)^{365/(60-0)} ###

###\begin{aligned} r_\text{eff,annual} &= \left(\frac{1}{1-0.015}\right)^{365/60} - 1 \\ &= 0.096300464\\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 177  implicit interest rate in wholesale credit

A furniture distributor offers credit to its customers. Customers are given 25 days to pay for their goods, but if they pay immediately they will get a 1% discount.

What is the effective interest rate implicit in the discount being offered? Assume 365 days in a year and that all customers pay either immediately or on the 25th day. All rates given below are effective annual rates.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

### V_{0} = \frac{V_{25}}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{365/(25-0)}} ###

But the discount is 1% if paid at ##t=0##, so ###V_{0} = V_{25}(1-0.01)### Substituting into the above, then:

###\begin{aligned} V_{25}(1-0.01) &= \frac{V_{25}}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(25-0)/365}} \\ 1-0.01 &= \frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(25-0)/365}} \\ (1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(25-0)/365} &= \frac{1}{1-0.01} \\ 1+r_\text{eff,annual} &= \left(\frac{1}{1-0.01}\right)^{365/(25-0)} \\ r_\text{eff,annual} &= \left(\frac{1}{1-0.01}\right)^{365/25} - 1 \\ &= 0.158046928 \\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 180  equivalent annual cash flow, inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows

Details of two different types of light bulbs are given below:

  • Low-energy light bulbs cost $3.50, have a life of nine years, and use about $1.60 of electricity a year, paid at the end of each year.
  • Conventional light bulbs cost only $0.50, but last only about a year and use about $6.60 of energy a year, paid at the end of each year.

The real discount rate is 5%, given as an effective annual rate. Assume that all cash flows are real. The inflation rate is 3% given as an effective annual rate.

Find the Equivalent Annual Cost (EAC) of the low-energy and conventional light bulbs. The below choices are listed in that order.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

This is an equivalent annual cost question because the two different types of light bulb last for different amounts of time.

Since the cash flows and discount rate are real, we can apply present value techniques without needing to worry about inflation. If the cash flows and discount rate were nominal, inflation can also be ignored. It's only when the cash flows are real and the discount rate is nominal (or vice versa) that you have to convert the nominal discount rate to a real rate using the Fisher equation. So in this question, there is no need to do this and the inflation figure of 3% is a red herring.

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, low energy} &= C_0 + \frac{C_\text{1,2,...T}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) \\ &= 3.50 + \frac{1.60}{0.05} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.05)^{9}} \right) \\ &= 14.87251468\\ \end{aligned} ###

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, conventional} &= C_0 + \frac{C_\text{1}}{(1+r)^1} \\ &= 0.50 + \frac{6.60}{(1+0.05)^1} \\ &= 6.785714286 \\ \end{aligned} ###

The conventional light bulb appears cheaper because it has a lower present value of costs, but we have to recognise that it has a shorter life, so of course the present value of costs will be less. We need to use the annuity formula to spread the costs over each light bulb's life so we can get an equivalent annual cost.

For the low energy light bulb that lasts for 9 years:

###V_\text{0, low energy} = \frac{C_\text{EAC low energy}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) ### ###14.87251468 = \frac{C_\text{EAC low energy}}{0.05} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.05)^{9}} \right) ### ##C_\text{EAC low energy} = 2.09241528 ##

For the conventional light bulb that lasts for 1 year:

###V_\text{0, conventional} = \frac{C_\text{EAC conventional}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) ### ###6.785714286 = \frac{C_\text{EAC conventional}}{0.05} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.05)^{1}} \right) ### ###C_\text{EAC conventional} = 7.125 ###

Since the low energy light bulb has the lower equivalent annual cost, it is the best choice.


Question 195  equivalent annual cash flow

An industrial chicken farmer grows chickens for their meat. Chickens:

  1. Cost $0.50 each to buy as chicks. They are bought on the day they’re born, at t=0.
  2. Grow at a rate of $0.70 worth of meat per chicken per week for the first 6 weeks (t=0 to t=6).
  3. Grow at a rate of $0.40 worth of meat per chicken per week for the next 4 weeks (t=6 to t=10) since they’re older and grow more slowly.
  4. Feed costs are $0.30 per chicken per week for their whole life. Chicken feed is bought and fed to the chickens once per week at the beginning of the week. So the first amount of feed bought for a chicken at t=0 costs $0.30, and so on.
  5. Can be slaughtered (killed for their meat) and sold at no cost at the end of the week. The price received for the chicken is their total value of meat (note that the chicken grows fast then slow, see above).

The required return of the chicken farm is 0.5% given as an effective weekly rate.

Ignore taxes and the fixed costs of the factory. Ignore the chicken’s welfare and other environmental and ethical concerns.

Find the equivalent weekly cash flow of slaughtering a chicken at 6 weeks and at 10 weeks so the farmer can figure out the best time to slaughter his chickens. The choices below are given in the same order, 6 and 10 weeks.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

This is an equivalent periodic cash flow (sometimes called equivalent annual cost) question since the chickens can have different life times. The first step is to find the present value of the gain from slaughtering the chickens when they are 6 weeks old and also at 10 weeks old, then in the second step we spread these gains over 6 and 10 weeks using the annuity formula. The best time to slaughter a poor chicken will be at whichever time gives the highest equivalent weekly cash flow.

Note that the increase in chicken meat occurs at the end of each week, but you can't chop off bits of the chicken and sell it each week without killing the poor thing! So the increase in the amount of meat is all received at the end when the chicken is slaughtered.

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, 6 weeks} &= -C_\text{0, hatchling} + \frac{-C_\text{0,1,2,...5, feed}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{6}} \right)(1+r)^1 + \frac{6 \times C_\text{6, young meat}}{(1+r)^6} \\ &= -0.50 + \frac{-0.30}{0.005} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.005)^{6}} \right)(1+0.005)^1 + \frac{6 \times 0.70}{(1+0.005)^6} \\ &= 1.798416029 \\ \end{aligned} ###

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, 10 weeks} &= -C_\text{0, hatchling} + \frac{-C_\text{0,1,2,...9, feed}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{10}} \right)(1+r)^1 + \\ &\frac{6 \times C_\text{10, young meat} + (10-6) \times C_\text{10, old meat}}{(1+r)^{10}} \\ &= -0.50 + \frac{-0.30}{0.005} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.005)^{10}} \right)(1+0.005)^1 + \frac{6 \times 0.70 + 4 \times 0.40}{(1+0.005)^{10}} \\ &= 2.08409888 \\ \end{aligned} ###

It looks like the chickens should be allowed to live! But remember that the chickens have different lives. It is too early to draw a conclusion, we must find the equivalent weekly cash flow from letting them live for 6 and 10 weeks and then make a decision.

For the 6 week old chickens,

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, 6 weeks} &= \frac{C_\text{EWC 6 weeks}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) \\ 1.798416029 &= \frac{C_\text{EWC 6 weeks}}{0.005} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.005)^{6}} \right) \\ C_\text{EWC 6 weeks} &= 0.305003186 \\ \end{aligned} ###

For the 10 week old chickens,

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, 10 weeks} &= \frac{C_\text{EWC 10 weeks}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) \\ 2.08409888 &= \frac{C_\text{EWC 10 weeks}}{0.005} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.005)^{10}} \right) \\ C_\text{EWC 10 weeks} &= 0.214184036 \\ \end{aligned} ###

Since the 6 week old chickens have the highest equivalent weekly cash flow, it is best to slaughter the chickens young. This is in fact what happens in commercial chicken meat farms, chickens are killed at 6 weekssource.

You may think that it doesn't make economic sense to kill them so young because they eat $0.30 of food but put on $0.40 of weight per week, so there is a gain for every extra week that the chickens are alive, which is true. But the opportunity cost of the feeding an old chicken that grows slowly is feeding a new younger chicken that grows quickly. Chicken farmers can make bigger gains per chicken by killing them young. Economically that makes better sense. But of course this ignores some ethical dilemmas raised by this train of thought.